February 24th, 2011
07:00 PM ET
There are just a few days left before the awards show of the year kicks off.
So to bide our time until we can see the cream of Hollywood’s crop in glamorous gowns and manicured menswear, let’s talk Oscars predictions.
We’ve surveyed the landscape to see who’s getting the most odds – let us know who you think will be making acceptance speeches in the comments.
Most predictions point towards Natalie Portman’s role in “Black Swan” (surprise, surprise), even though others believe Annette Bening (“The Kids Are All Right”) stands a chance to take the win.
As Stephen Galloway from The Hollywood Reporter explains, “many insiders believe Annette Bening will win for ‘The Kids Are All Right’ thanks to the support of the Academy’s older voters. She’ll be helped by her place on the board of governors, respect for her body of work and sympathy for three previous losses.”
But despite those theories, Galloway isn't counting out Portman: “Remember Marion Cotillard’s win over Julie Christie in 2008, and Juliette Binoche’s over Lauren Bacall in 1997? It’s a close race, but Portman has the showier role; that and the fact that she won the SAG Award get her the Oscar.”
Even Heidi, a cross-eyed German possum, believes Portman will take it, and she's been picking the winners for years! If you can’t trust her, who can you trust?
Moving on to best actor - is there anyone out there who doesn’t think Colin Firth will be the one giving an acceptance speech for this? The lead actor of “The King’s Speech” has been on a winning streak this awards season.
“Colin Firth, a veteran actor who was nominated for a great performance last year in 'A Single Man' and has won all of the most significant precursor awards this year for a great performance in 'The King’s Speech,' is far and away the favorite to win this Oscar,” industry analyst Scott Feinberg predicts.
Plus, The Frisky theorizes, there's the BAFTA effect. According to the Frisky, "The predictive powers of the BAFTAs get even more impressive when you limit it to the top six categories—Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress...over the past few years, 80 percent of the winners have overlapped."
Of course, Firth won best leading actor at the BAFTAs...and David Fincher won best director for "The Social Network." Which leads us to our next category...
This category is something of a tough call. Everyone is almost split down the middle between Tom Hooper (“The King’s Speech”) and David Fincher (“The Social Network.”)
“Tom Hooper coaxed ‘The King's Speech’ to a success story, but Fincher - who's morphed from video director to enfant terrible to provocateur to supreme visual craftsman - has become shorthand in Hollywood for 21st-century genius,” said Joe Neumaier and Elizabeth Weitzman from the New York Daily News.
“The King’s Speech” is far in front of the pack in this category though, with Fincher’s “The Social Network” trailing behind.
As Moviefone notes, “For months, it seemed like nothing could stop 'The Social Network' from winning Best Picture, especially after it took home four Golden Globes in January…But in recent weeks, the Facebook frontrunner has been dethroned by 'The King's Speech' after the British period piece won prizes from the Producers Guild, Directors Guild and Screen Actors Guild of America.”
Does the Facebook drama really have the power to surpass the story of Britain’s King George VI?
And on a more fashionable note, Vogue has lined up a slew of red carpet predictions for what best actress nominees Michelle Williams, Nicole Kidman, Annette Bening and an expecting Natalie Portman will wear to the Academy Awards.
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