February 24th, 2011
07:00 PM ET

Oscar predictions: What's the verdict?

There are just a few days left before the awards show of the year kicks off.

So to bide our time until we can see the cream of Hollywood’s crop in glamorous gowns and manicured menswear, let’s talk Oscars predictions.

We’ve surveyed the landscape to see who’s getting the most odds – let us know who you think will be making acceptance speeches in the comments.

Best Actress

Most predictions point towards Natalie Portman’s role in “Black Swan” (surprise, surprise), even though others believe Annette Bening (“The Kids Are All Right”) stands a chance to take the win.

As Stephen Galloway from The Hollywood Reporter explains, “many insiders believe Annette Bening will win for ‘The Kids Are All Right’ thanks to the support of the Academy’s older voters. She’ll be helped by her place on the board of governors, respect for her body of work and sympathy for three previous losses.”

But despite those theories, Galloway isn't counting out Portman: “Remember Marion Cotillard’s win over Julie Christie in 2008, and Juliette Binoche’s over Lauren Bacall in 1997? It’s a close race, but Portman has the showier role; that and the fact that she won the SAG Award get her the Oscar.”

Even Heidi, a cross-eyed German possum, believes Portman will take it, and she's been picking the winners for years! If you can’t trust her, who can you trust?

Best Actor

Moving on to best actor - is there anyone out there who doesn’t think Colin Firth will be the one giving an acceptance speech for this? The lead actor of “The King’s Speech” has been on a winning streak this awards season.

“Colin Firth, a veteran actor who was nominated for a great performance last year in 'A Single Man' and has won all of the most significant precursor awards this year for a great performance in 'The King’s Speech,' is far and away the favorite to win this Oscar,” industry analyst Scott Feinberg predicts.

Plus, The Frisky theorizes, there's the BAFTA effect. According to the Frisky, "The predictive powers of the BAFTAs get even more impressive when you limit it to the top six categories—Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress...over the past few years, 80 percent of the winners have overlapped."

Of course, Firth won best leading actor at the BAFTAs...and David Fincher won best director for "The Social Network." Which leads us to our next category...

Best Director

This category is something of a tough call. Everyone is almost split down the middle between Tom Hooper (“The King’s Speech”) and David Fincher (“The Social Network.”)

“Tom Hooper coaxed ‘The King's Speech’ to a success story, but Fincher - who's morphed from video director to enfant terrible to provocateur to supreme visual craftsman - has become shorthand in Hollywood for 21st-century genius,” said Joe Neumaier and Elizabeth Weitzman from the New York Daily News.

Best Picture

“The King’s Speech” is far in front of the pack in this category though, with Fincher’s “The Social Network” trailing behind.

As Moviefone notes, “For months, it seemed like nothing could stop 'The Social Network' from winning Best Picture, especially after it took home four Golden Globes in January…But in recent weeks, the Facebook frontrunner has been dethroned by 'The King's Speech' after the British period piece won prizes from the Producers Guild, Directors Guild and Screen Actors Guild of America.”

Does the Facebook drama really have the power to surpass the story of Britain’s King George VI?

And on a more fashionable note, Vogue has lined up a slew of red carpet predictions for what best actress nominees Michelle Williams, Nicole Kidman, Annette Bening and an expecting Natalie Portman will wear to the Academy Awards.


soundoff (69 Responses)
  1. JS

    The Oscars have become such a dumb event. First of all, there is NO uncertainty on who will win. With the idiot SAG awards picked by the same morons– all the winners are already known. It may as well be the People's @#$#@ Choice Awards where only the winners show up because they know beforehand. And the talent in Hollywood has gone to hell. What a bunch of losers. America has become the most pathetic nation in all areas- including the lack of talent in entertainment.

    February 25, 2011 at 9:34 pm | Report abuse |
  2. slong

    Oscar predictions: What's the verdict? Bigger question who really cares?

    February 25, 2011 at 7:25 pm | Report abuse |
  3. oldguy

    I knew I was going to hate this cute little video. I hate these things. But the pace picked up and by the end, with the punch, I was laughing out loud. Well, done! The Oscar for Best Oscar Prediction Short goes to...

    February 25, 2011 at 7:15 pm | Report abuse |
  4. me

    Who cares when the world is in such a state! Nice to watch films/but is it the most important thing in life?

    February 25, 2011 at 7:04 pm | Report abuse |
    • oldguy

      Me: so what in the world are YOU doing HERE? Really. How about an answer. There's always someone who comes to these entertainment articles and says "poo poo". Didn't you know that the home page has all the important stories you want? You don't have to set the entertainment pages as YOUR home page like this... you can go right to world events, politics, health...anything you want. You should only come here after you've already read the stories you think are more important.... like the rest of us do.

      February 25, 2011 at 7:20 pm | Report abuse |
  5. cpc65

    Let Charlie Sheen host. They'll get the best ratings ever!

    February 25, 2011 at 6:39 pm | Report abuse |
  6. VoteCraze

    Vote for the winner of best picture of Oscar 2011 here: http://votecraze.com/questions/5
    Let's find out if your prediction (and others) are true.

    February 25, 2011 at 6:14 pm | Report abuse |
  7. Mark

    Total crap. Tron Legacy had the best effects and the best soundtrack of any movie in 2011. Its not even close (well, Inception is close). But why is it not on the nomimation list? Talk about an Oscar snub.

    February 25, 2011 at 5:27 pm | Report abuse |
  8. ken

    I like Natalie Portman. If Bening wins it'll be a "pity give" for her years of service. Her work on "The Kids Are Allright" was reacting NOT acting. Frankly, Julianne Moore did the FAR superior job and she wasn't nominated. An ugly slap in the face for Moore's years of hard work and superior talent in this poorly written film.

    February 25, 2011 at 4:46 pm | Report abuse |
  9. JV

    My theory is whoever didn't like Inception just didn't understand it.

    February 25, 2011 at 4:41 pm | Report abuse |
    • lizards

      is it possible to have watched inception and NOT understood it? oh i got it alright. each and every time the message was shoved down my throat i got it.

      February 25, 2011 at 5:34 pm | Report abuse |
  10. Miriam

    I loved Colin Firth in "Bridget Jones" movies and I loved him in the Conspiracy – he is a great actor and deserves to win the oscar.
    Best Picture= The Kings Speech
    Best Actor= Colin Firth
    Best Actress= Natalie Portman

    It's a no brainer. It is what it is!!!!!
    Lets move on now to Libya and gas prices since the Oscars have been dulled out.

    February 25, 2011 at 3:41 pm | Report abuse |
  11. Bill M

    Doubtful that all the posters have seen all 10 noms for best picture. I've seen 9 (can't bring myself to watch Black Swan). Forget about popularity; the academy doesn't care about box office. Watch the MTV awards for that. As far as best pic goes, it's The Kings Speech. If there was a category for Most Entertaining, it would go to Inception. Best actor is Firth. Why, because he did the best job. Best Supp Actor is Bale. Why, because it was the best acting I've seen Daniel Day Lewis in My Left Foot. I don't know about Portman's performance, but what Benning did in The Kids are Alright was good, but wasn't as good as Jennifer Lawrence (I'll take everyone's word that Portman will win). Best Dir is Fincher for how he orchestrated the Winklevoss' and the pace of the movie. Melissa Leo wins for The Fighter because it was the best/meateist performance. MTV awards will have Inception and Social Network win everything.

    February 25, 2011 at 3:08 pm | Report abuse |
  12. meme

    I hope Natalie Portman doesn't win. I don't know if I can take another immature, embarrassing speech from her. What a snotty nightmare that one is.

    That and Annette Bening deserves it. She was awesome in The Kids Are Alright.

    February 25, 2011 at 2:51 pm | Report abuse |
  13. Spetsnaz

    Why WHY WHY WHY>.....? Was Daft Punk not EVEN nominated for Best Original Sound Score?????? for TRON??? They created a whole album that meshed ... MADE the movie and carried it from start to finnish! This is a joke

    February 25, 201

    February 25, 2011 at 2:40 pm | Report abuse |
  14. Oscar Mayer

    All the koons can BITE ME!

    February 25, 2011 at 1:15 pm | Report abuse |
  15. matt

    I think it is pathetic that annette bening could winm nbest actor because of her role on the board or out of sympathy. I guess that says enough about the awards. If she takes the award from portman I will never watch the awards again. Her performance in the kids are alright was average. If that is what we expect as a best actress performance it is just a pathetic state of affairs.

    February 25, 2011 at 9:14 am | Report abuse |
    • Be Quiet

      Oh no! You'll never watch the Oscars again? How will they ever manage without you?

      February 25, 2011 at 1:11 pm | Report abuse |
  16. wendi

    Best Picture: King's Speech Best Actress: Natalie Portman Best Actor: Jeff Bridges Best Director: David Fincher . thats what it should be.. lets see what happens.

    February 25, 2011 at 9:10 am | Report abuse |
  17. Rhonda

    I'd rather watch Oscar DelaRente eat an Oscar Meyer wiener.

    February 25, 2011 at 9:07 am | Report abuse |
  18. Chris Bessemer

    Who edits this crap? Frisy? that and the fact that she won the SAG Award get her the Oscar.” come on!

    February 25, 2011 at 9:06 am | Report abuse |
  19. DIGITALDIMEZ

    wow!!

    WANNA SEE THE UNCUT AMBER ROSE X-VID??

    http://WWW.MADDLEAK.COM

    February 25, 2011 at 7:56 am | Report abuse |
  20. Dark Man

    John, I still have Sandy. Mwahahahahaha

    February 25, 2011 at 4:36 am | Report abuse |
  21. sally

    john, can u and big bull swing by and get me . .i wood luv to go see thm there purty people, course i dont thinkin we cam git in, security and all but i can bring my instamatic and takes pitchers but then id have to drop em off at the nearest rite aid drug store,do they have em in los angles? oh i almost forgot, dont pack heat, we can just use big bull as r bodygaurd.

    February 25, 2011 at 4:14 am | Report abuse |
  22. dallas

    The kings speech will win every major award its nominated for

    February 25, 2011 at 3:57 am | Report abuse |
  23. SHOOOOOO

    I just farted. Shoooooo : )

    February 25, 2011 at 3:25 am | Report abuse |
  24. teddy2chains

    Purple Rain-Best Picture.

    February 25, 2011 at 3:15 am | Report abuse |
    • JV

      Thanks a lot. I just spewed my Dr. Pepper all over the place. Too funny...

      February 25, 2011 at 3:23 pm | Report abuse |
  25. Name

    I'm expecting an upset. The Fighter taking the most awards. Not that I think it should. Just that's how these split vote things usually turn out.

    February 25, 2011 at 1:52 am | Report abuse |
  26. John Poligolo

    I just got out of the state pen after a 9 year sentence. How do these awards shows work? I'd like to go to it and meet some of the stars. Is there a number I can call for some tickets? While in prison, all I had was my journal and a tv. I'd write in my journal about Sandy,my girl who was taken from me by a dark man 10 years ago.

    I'd also workout and watch Entertainment Tonight with my celly Big Bull.We both really like Natalie Portman and Jeff Bridges.Big Bull got out of prison a month ago,I just got out a week ago.We're going to get tickets and go to the Oscars.We already have our tuxedos and everything.

    February 25, 2011 at 1:29 am | Report abuse |
  27. whatever

    Please remove the racist comments from this thread. Your policy seems to inicate that all comments are reviewed prior to them being posted but obviously, that is not the case. Thanks!

    February 25, 2011 at 12:56 am | Report abuse |
  28. Greg

    Best picture: The Town
    Best Actor: Jeff bridges (true grit)
    Best Actress: Nat Portman

    February 24, 2011 at 11:48 pm | Report abuse |
    • mobrule

      who won the sag? bridges was the worst part of that movie, the only reason I knew what he was saying half the time is I know the original film.

      February 25, 2011 at 2:40 pm | Report abuse |
    • MGB

      Your choice for Best Picture is impossible, seeing as The Town wasn't even nominated.

      February 25, 2011 at 5:45 pm | Report abuse |
  29. brah

    Inception is the majority public's favorite movie, but that doesn't seem to hold water...why is that? Notice i said majority, that doesn't mean everyone.

    February 24, 2011 at 11:38 pm | Report abuse |
  30. BooYah!

    You know the smell is there so blind people can avoid them too.

    February 24, 2011 at 11:27 pm | Report abuse |
  31. Keith

    As long as Annette Bening doesn't win. The Kids Are All Right was a smug pointless movie...

    February 24, 2011 at 10:46 pm | Report abuse |
    • Anne

      Annette was good in Kids but I do not think it was an Oscar query performance. Several of her past works were worthy so maybe the academy nominated her as a way to appease for past transgressions in overlooking her.

      February 25, 2011 at 5:46 am | Report abuse |
    • chuck

      Annette Benning was superb in "The Kids Are All Right". She can act circles around others without opening her mouth. Her facial expressions alone will tell a story. Kudos to her for going out on a limb and accepting the this risky role. Smug is not a term I would think of when describing this movie. This was the everyday family next door with all of their warts exposed. The only different dynamic was two lesbian Mothers. I'm glad to see Hollywood grow up and take us down roads that they refused to let us travel for so long for fear of losing an almighty dollar at the expense of the ever important and ever growing gay subculture which they profess to protect but refused to showcase with honesty for generations. Annette was brilliant and that is why she won the Golden Globe and was nominated for the Oscar. She stole the show and I would watch this movie again to see that performance one more time.

      February 25, 2011 at 2:50 pm | Report abuse |
  32. Any Thoughts

    Based on the preferential voting system the Academy uses, does anyone think that The Social Network or The King's Speech might not win?? This article explained last year how Inglourious Basterds could have won even if it didn't get the most 1st place votes. I feel like sooner or later this might happen- maybe this year??

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/film/oscars/7376497/Oscars-2010-Row-over-best-picture-voting-system.html

    February 24, 2011 at 10:23 pm | Report abuse |
  33. Thomas

    Social Network won the Golden Globe for best pic, not The King's Speech

    February 24, 2011 at 9:51 pm | Report abuse |
    • Peter

      Colin Firth won the Globe for Best Actor, so that makes it a "Golden Globe winning film".

      February 24, 2011 at 10:03 pm | Report abuse |
    • Victoria

      The Golden Globes nominated The Tourist. @__@

      February 25, 2011 at 3:02 am | Report abuse |
  34. Chalequia

    Just a bunch of old pruney faced white folk patting each other on the back.

    February 24, 2011 at 9:48 pm | Report abuse |
    • Chaosevil

      That just bites you in the ass don't it. Better then throwing bullets at each other.

      February 25, 2011 at 8:51 am | Report abuse |
    • TiredOfYourTypeOfComment

      geez, I didn't know Forest Whittaker, Denzel Washington, Jennifer Hudson, Halle Berry, Whoopi Goldberg, Morgan Freeman and Jamie Foxx were old pruney faced white folk.

      February 25, 2011 at 9:29 am | Report abuse |
    • uptown

      yes, lets watch something like the NBA with a bunch of ignorant clowns jumping up and down with their hands cupped over their mouths laughing and yucking it up. If they could not play basketball they would be on the street corner looking to put a cap in someone over drug territory.

      February 25, 2011 at 3:21 pm | Report abuse |
  35. Jeeves

    It's always tragic when women spend a lot of time and money on celebrities they will never meet instead of loving people around them in the real world. It's even more tragic when the object of their affection is so obviously a closetcase like Franco. Well I guess he's not a closetcase anymore since he said to that interviewer a month ago, "I'm gay!" LOL

    February 24, 2011 at 9:30 pm | Report abuse |
    • Anne

      Dude, are you on the same drug train train as Charlie Sheen, what are you talking about? The article Franco did was done with some tongue in cheek comments on his own part.

      February 25, 2011 at 5:43 am | Report abuse |
  36. blahblahblah

    I never watch the Oscars anymore. A bunch of obscure or foreign people win awards and you never see them again. They're like the Grammys. I usually do my taxes or my college homework and listen to my IPOD on Oscar night.

    February 24, 2011 at 9:27 pm | Report abuse |
    • confused

      You apparently care enough about them to read articles and comment on said articles. I don't care about the save the spotted owl foundation so I dont spend time reading about it.

      February 24, 2011 at 11:10 pm | Report abuse |
    • Anne

      Confused, you are not confused on that. If blahblah truly does nor care then he/she/it would not have made its silly comment.

      February 25, 2011 at 5:40 am | Report abuse |
    • JV

      Hey Blah Squared, How are you able to do your "college homework" way up there on your pedistal? That is the beauty of freedom of choice. You don't like it, don't watch it. If others enjoy it then so what? How does that affect you personally? Yes The Oscars (and the GG for that matter) can get a little congealed but entertaining nonetheless. Ok enough of this, better let you get back to your studies you cute little potential Einstein you...

      February 25, 2011 at 3:13 pm | Report abuse |
  37. Nancy

    James Franco looks anemic as heck. ...he needs to hold off on the booze for a bit.

    February 24, 2011 at 9:24 pm | Report abuse |
  38. Ben

    The social network has everything the academy looks for, don't be surprised if it pulls the upset for best picture over the kings speech

    February 24, 2011 at 8:24 pm | Report abuse |
    • John

      Unfortunately, I'm afraid you're right. Obviously, the people of America want The Social Network. It's hard to find a demographic that can see beyond the subject of the King's Speech. Unfortunate, considering that King's Speech is, by orders of magnitude, far superior to any of the contenders artistically or intellectually. But who gives a s"' about that anymore?

      February 25, 2011 at 8:04 pm | Report abuse |
  39. Bottles Up

    Man! There is alot tough talk on these COMPUTERS i always noticed but never hear these pink panthers talk like that face to face but to me thats respect yell hate where its safe like in wisconsin somewhere

    February 24, 2011 at 8:24 pm | Report abuse |
  40. Mark

    Nick Cannon and Mariah Carey would never win an Oscar. Drumline?? Please. What is Nick Cannon? 12?

    February 24, 2011 at 8:11 pm | Report abuse |
  41. Superhiro

    As long as Inception doesn't win best picture I'm happy.

    February 24, 2011 at 7:21 pm | Report abuse |
    • Huh?

      What?! First it was better than some garbage foreign film no one cares about. Second it was a great movie, but I guess some people only like recycled ideas for movies and cannot appreciate an original plot or one that you actually have to follow...

      February 25, 2011 at 5:50 am | Report abuse |
    • mobrule

      we already know who will win some of them - whoever won the guilds, sag, wga, dga, will win the oscar, and from that you can usually tell best pic. no mystery here, move along...

      February 25, 2011 at 8:50 am | Report abuse |
    • chuck

      @HUh? Inception will not be in contention with foreign films.

      February 25, 2011 at 2:37 pm | Report abuse |
    • Spetsnaz

      Why WHY WHY WHY>.....? Was Daft Punk not EVEN nominated for Best Original Sound Score?????? for TRON??? They created a whole album that meshed ... MADE the movie and carried it from start to finnish! This is a joke

      February 25, 2011 at 2:40 pm | Report abuse |
    • JV

      Although Inception does not deserve Best Picture I believe it was the most original. Yes, originality Hollywood, find out what that means and stick to it. In regards to Daft Punk not getting nominated I do agree that they should have although the genious that is Trent Reznor should and will win an Oscar being the only person in history to win a Grammy, GG, and an Academy Award.

      February 25, 2011 at 3:06 pm | Report abuse |
    • guest

      In response to inception talk, It was 3 big budget action movies put into one. How awesome a realistic dream movie! The Matrix was better.

      February 25, 2011 at 3:12 pm | Report abuse |
    • Justin

      Inception was the best movie of the year hands down.

      February 25, 2011 at 3:17 pm | Report abuse |
    • Mac

      I agree, Inception was mindless. Intelligent? A new genre of Pseudo-intelligent perhaps? Appalling music charging thro it all as well, (which won an award).

      February 25, 2011 at 5:53 pm | Report abuse |
    • venk

      @JV >> Trent Reznor should and will win an Oscar being the only person in history to win a Grammy, GG, and an Academy Award.<<<
      A.R.Rahman did achieve that in 2009. GG, BAFTA, 2Grammys, 2OScars for his work in S.Millionaire.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A._R._Rahman

      February 25, 2011 at 6:42 pm | Report abuse |

Post a comment

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Advertisement
About this blog

Our daily cheat-sheet for breaking celebrity news, Hollywood buzz and your pop-culture obsessions.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 7,047 other followers